Polls. They are our proverbial ‘crystal balls’ in guessing the outcomes of Presidential Elections.  Right now, they all show results within a “margin of error.” That is pollster vernacular for “hey, we could be completely off the mark, so don’t hold us accountable if it goes a different way.” 

If I were to prognosticate the outcome of this election, I might employ simple logic instead. I might turn to past variables, to predict future outcomes…such as, the 2008 election.

If one were to employ such logic, and apply simple quantitative reasoning to this years’ election, one might come up with a very different, and overwhelming result: 

Romney is going to win in a landslide. 

Let’s utilize logical reasoning, critical thinking, and apply here: 

1. Obama has lost a significant percentage of disenfranchised Dems that he was awarded with in 2008 (like myself)…and also a percentage of enthused young voters who no longer are inspired by Obama since moving into their parents basement after graduating college.
2. Obama has lost ANY Republican voters he got in 2008…you know…those that turned red states blue in voting for him…fool us once applies here.
3. Obama had overwhelming majority of Independent voters….Romney owns this segment in this election…let’s be honest…Independents wanted the Candidate Obama policies as much as Dems, but they are even more adept and attune to the fact that they received the exact opposite in policy from him.
4. Obama had no record to be held accountable to in 2008…we voted for “hoping” he was different…we DO have a record now. That makes Obama instantly less believable/desirable as a candidate this time around for anyone who actually pays attention…a small percentage, but unless he expanded the pool of “lever-pullers” in this cycle…he loses even more.
5. Polls are relying today on turnout in 2008…McCain/Palin ticket offered less than enthusiastic turnout…let’s give increase in enthusiasm of Republicans showing up just a few points increase.
6. African American community suffering more now than any other segment of the population…and they are speaking out more than ever.
7. Jewish vote…gone. 

So, I see a HUGE Romney victory...if past is prelude, and I think logically, no other conclusion can be found. It is why, I suspect, pollsters cannot be definitive in their reporting…they still cannot fathom a negative towards Obama…much like all of MSM. Then you look at major newspaper endorsements, and see they have not repeated their support for Obama again this cycle…and just a teeny bit of hope that there is some integrity left in journalism remains.

My crystal ball employs logic, and looking into it shows me that Romney will actually win, and will win decisively.